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2024-12-14 04:26:50

Market News: The US CPI report in November may suggest that the core PCE index, the inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, may rise slightly to 2.9% in the last two months of 2024.Russian Presidential Press Secretary: The telephone conversation between Putin and Trump has not been prepared yet. On December 11th, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said that there is no telephone conversation between Russian President Putin and US President-elect Trump at present, and Russia is waiting for Trump's inauguration ceremony on January 20th next year. Peskov also said that at present, Russia has no plans to hold a summit meeting with Turkish and Iranian leaders on the Syrian situation, Putin's visit to Turkey "has not yet been finalized" and he is not ready to meet with Hungarian Prime Minister Orban. (CCTV News)Yu Jianhua, director of the General Administration of Customs, died of illness. On December 10, 2024, Comrade Yu Jianhua, secretary of the Party Committee and director of the General Administration of Customs of the Communist Party of China, died unfortunately at the age of 63. (Issued by the Customs)


Fitch: The progress of inflation decline seems to have ended. Brian Coulton, chief economist of Fitch, said that the decline of core commodity prices (the main force of inflation decline this year) seems to have ended. With the increase of automobile prices, the core commodity prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month. Service inflation is declining, but the rate of decline is very slow, because rent inflation is stubborn, and the service inflation is 4.6%, which is still far higher than the pre-epidemic level.Macy's opened down 11%, the biggest drop since August 21st. On the news, the company lowered its profit forecast.Mackler, Governor of the Bank of Canada: As expected, the high housing inflation continued to ease, and the downward pressure of commodity prices on inflation eased.


Bank of Canada: Other federal and provincial policies will affect the dynamics of demand and inflation; The central bank will pay attention to potential trends. The decline in the level of immigration shows that the GDP growth in 2025 will be lower than the forecast of the central bank in October; Its impact on inflation will be more moderate.Hershey's share price fell by about 4%.Vanguard went against tradition and suggested the strategy of "six shares of debt and four shares" to deal with policy risks. In view of the high interest rate and stock valuation, Vanguard Group suggested that investors establish defensive positions in the new year and increase their investment in bonds instead of stocks. The company's 2025 outlook lists the asset allocation model built by economists and portfolio teams, which allocates 62% of the funds to fixed-income securities and the remaining 38% to stocks. In contrast, the ratio of stocks to bonds in the traditional portfolio is 60% to 40%. Although the US economy is still strong, the stock market valuation is close to historical highs, which makes stocks more vulnerable to potential policy risks after Trump takes office. At the same time, interest rates may remain higher than those in the 2010 s, thus providing investors with stable income and more protection in the case of risk aversion.

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